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Monday, 10 August 2026 · London

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Business 7 min read

Greg Abel Tests a More Active Capital Playbook at Berkshire

Berkshire's new CEO has begun deploying a record liquidity reserve across public equities, buybacks and M&A while keeping the group's fortress balance sheet intact.

Greg Abel Tests a More Active Capital Playbook at Berkshire
Source: Global Economic

Berkshire Hathaway's second-quarter capital allocation looks less like a repudiation of Warren Buffett and more like an institutional test of whether the machinery he built can operate at higher speed under Greg Abel. The conglomerate ended a 14-quarter run of net equity selling, resumed material repurchases and prepared to add another large operating business.

The public-market numbers are the clearest. Berkshire purchased about $23.5 billion of equities and sold roughly $3.7 billion, producing net buying of approximately $19.8 billion. That is a material swing for a company that had spent several years allowing cash and short-dated Treasury holdings to compound toward $400 billion.

The most visible external investment was Alphabet. A Berkshire affiliate agreed to invest $10 billion through a private placement as Alphabet raised capital to expand AI infrastructure and compute. The filing identifies more than 28 million Class A and Class C shares combined. The significance is institutional as much as sectoral: Berkshire found a vehicle large enough to absorb a ten-figure allocation without requiring a full acquisition.

At the same time, Abel's Berkshire allocated about $4.5 billion to repurchasing its own stock in the quarter. The repurchase programme had formally restarted on March 4 after a nearly two-year pause. In Berkshire's framework, a buyback is effectively an acquisition of the existing portfolio at the group's own market valuation. The hurdle therefore is not merely whether the shares look cheap in isolation, but whether they are more attractive than other uses of capital.

M&A provides a third comparison point. Berkshire agreed to buy Taylor Morrison for $72.50 per share. The equity value is about $6.8 billion and enterprise value about $8.5 billion. The transaction closed on July 24, outside the second quarter, so it should not be used to reconcile the June cash balance. Strategically, however, it strengthens Berkshire's US housing exposure by connecting Taylor Morrison with existing operations associated with Clayton Properties Group.

All of this reduced liquidity from roughly $397.4 billion at the end of the first quarter to around $365 billion by the end of June. That fall is notable precisely because the remaining reserve is still extraordinary. Berkshire's formal policy is to keep at least $30 billion across cash, equivalents and short-term Treasurys. The group therefore retains far more optionality than its stated floor requires.

Operating performance makes that optionality self-replenishing. Berkshire's operating earnings rose about 16% to $12.98 billion in the quarter. Net income was approximately $25.67 billion, more than double the year-earlier figure, though that measure benefited heavily from investment gains and is inherently volatile. Stronger manufacturing and retail results demonstrated that the controlled businesses continue to generate capital even when the investment portfolio's mark-to-market effects are stripped out.

Governance is the deeper issue. Abel became chief executive at the start of 2026, while Buffett remained chairman. That creates an unusual transition in which Berkshire retains the founder's presence but must demonstrate that its capital-allocation discipline belongs to the institution rather than one individual. A few large purchases cannot answer that question, but they can show how the new decision process works under pressure.

Michael Burry has offered an early negative verdict. MarketWatch reported that he wrote on Substack that Berkshire is no longer attractive to him as a forward investment and that the first moves of the new leadership do not yet persuade him. His criticism goes to the core succession risk: whether a system famous for waiting for rare opportunities can preserve that patience once its iconic allocator is no longer CEO.

The bullish interpretation is that Berkshire is finally using an inefficiently large cash buffer to buy assets with durable earnings power. The cautious interpretation is that the company is spending because the new era needs visible activity. The evidence so far supports the first half of the story — more capital is undeniably being deployed — but not the motive. There is no company statement declaring a strategic departure.

For institutional investors, the right metric will not be the pace of spending but the return on the capital committed. Alphabet, buybacks and Taylor Morrison represent three different allocation channels with different risk profiles, liquidity and time horizons.

That comparison can be thought of as a hierarchy of optionality. Short-term Treasurys offer the most freedom to redeploy capital quickly. Public shares offer daily liquidity but market risk. Repurchasing Berkshire concentrates capital in assets management already controls. Buying Taylor Morrison sacrifices much more liquidity in exchange for direct ownership of future operating cash flows. The quality of Abel's system will depend on how consistently it prices those trade-offs.

Scale makes the institutional challenge unusually severe. Berkshire cannot rely on a long list of small bargains to transform per-share value. Its opportunity set must include assets that can absorb billions at a time. That is one reason Alphabet is strategically relevant beyond technology: a company of that size can accommodate a $10 billion investment without requiring Berkshire to assume control.

The governance question is therefore whether Berkshire can preserve a decision process that says no often enough. A record cash balance can create external pressure to deploy capital, particularly after a high-profile succession. But Berkshire's historic advantage was precisely the absence of a requirement to be fully invested. Maintaining that independence may be as important as identifying the next large acquisition.

The second quarter offers evidence of capacity, not yet evidence of repeatable superiority. Abel has shown that Berkshire can move capital through several channels at once while keeping an enormous reserve. The harder evidence will emerge later: the returns on those commitments and the occasions when management chooses not to spend. If both sides of the discipline hold, a more active Berkshire need not mean a less conservative one.